doodlehappybirthday

WHAT THE FIGURES SAY

One hundred candles,
more often than ever.

A 100th birthday used to be a rare event.

Check the chances
A tall birthday cake crowded with lit candles on a table with flowers and teacups, in warm afternoon light
AI-generated image, not a photograph of a real person or place.

16,600centenarians in 2024

  • Twice as many as 2004
  • Men catching up
  • One in three babies
  • The 100th birthday in three facts

UK statistics show it is becoming much less rare. The number of centenarians has doubled in twenty years, men are catching up with women, and today's babies have a real chance of seeing their own hundredth.

Updated

THE SHORT ANSWER

Reaching 100
is getting more common.

Three findings from the Office for National Statistics,
the UK's official statistics body.

CENTENARIANS

Doubled in twenty years

The ONS estimates there were 16,600 centenarians in the UK in 2024, up from 8,300 in 2004. In 1983 there were about 3,000.

See the numbers

WOMEN AND MEN

Men are catching up

Men made up 18.5% of centenarians in 2024. Male centenarians trebled between 2004 and 2024, from 910 to 3,100, while women almost doubled.

Check the chances

THE NEXT GENERATION

One in three babies

In 2016 the ONS projected that about one in three babies born that year would live to see their 100th birthday.

Why it is rising

A QUICK CHANCES CHECK

Who is most likely
to reach 100?

Pick a group to see what the ONS projected in 2016. The bar shows the chance of reaching a 100th birthday.

Based on the ONS article What are your chances of living to 100? (2016). These are population averages that assume health keeps improving; they say nothing about any one person.

Chances check

Choose a group
A baby girl born in 201635.2%

The ONS projected that 134,500 of the baby girls born in 2016, about 35.2%, would live to see their 100th birthday.

A baby boy born in 201628.4%

For baby boys the projection was 113,900, or 28.4%. Whatever their age, women were more likely than men to reach 100.

Someone born in 1936Less likely

The younger you are, the more likely you are to reach 100. The ONS says babies born in 2016 are more likely to get there than people born in 1936.

Source: Office for National Statistics, What are your chances of living to 100? (14 January 2016). The ONS life expectancy calculator gives updated figures by age and sex.

TWO NUMBERS WORTH KNOWING

More centenarians,
and longer lives.

One count of today's centenarians,
one count of everyone aged 90 and over.

16,600

People aged 100 and over in the UK

Double the 8,300 of 2004. Wales had the highest rate in the UK, at 25.9 centenarians per 100,000 people, and the rate rose in all four UK countries.

CENTENARIANS · ONS 2024

625,000

People aged 90 and over in the UK

Up 53.7% since 2004. Of these, 84.5% were aged 95 or younger, but the fastest growth has been at the oldest ages.

AGED 90 AND OVER · ONS 2024

The ONS says changes in the older population are largely explained by improvements in life expectancy and by historic birth patterns, such as the dip in births during the First World War.

A newborn baby's tiny hand curled around an adult's finger
AI-generated image, not a photograph of a real person or place.

FOUR THINGS TO KNOW

Reading longevity
figures fairly.

Statistics about very long lives are easy to misread. The ONS notes a few points worth keeping in mind.

  1. Period is not cohort

    National life tables reflect current death rates at each age, not a true estimate of how long someone will live.

  2. Projections assume progress

    Chances of reaching 100 assume that improvements in mortality will continue.

  3. Births echo a century later

    Low births during the First World War meant fewer centenarians just before 2020, then a rapid rise in 2020 and 2021.

  4. Averages are not people

    Cohort figures do not consider lifestyle or health conditions that affect any one person.

WHY THE NUMBER IS RISING

Longer lives,
and a post-war boom.

The ONS links rising longevity to improved healthcare and lifestyle changes, such as fewer people smoking. In 2022 to 2024, life expectancy at birth in the UK was 83.0 years for females and 79.1 years for males.

The centenarian count also follows births 100 years earlier. It rose quickly in 2020 and 2021, matching the rise in births just after the First World War, and recent growth is largely explained by people living longer.

The hands of an older woman holding a teacup by a sunny window
AI-generated image, not a photograph of a real person or place.

Questions

Questions people ask

How many people in the UK are aged 100 or over?

The ONS estimates there were 16,600 centenarians in the UK in 2024, double the 8,300 in 2004.

Are there more female or male centenarians?

Female. Men made up 18.5% of centenarians in 2024, though the number of male centenarians trebled between 2004 and 2024 while the number of women almost doubled.

What are a baby's chances of reaching 100?

In 2016 the ONS projected that about one in three babies born that year would see their 100th birthday: 35.2% of girls and 28.4% of boys.

Where in the UK are centenarians most common?

Wales, with 25.9 centenarians per 100,000 people in 2024, the highest rate of the four UK countries.

Why did the number of centenarians dip and then jump?

Because of births 100 years earlier. Fewer babies were born during the First World War, followed by a rapid rise in births after it.

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